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May 7, 2017

New winds on the Korean peninsula

America's attempt to isolate North Korea could go bankrupt if a soft-spoken president with Pyongyang came to power in South Korea after the 9-5 election.
Làn gió mới trên bán đảo Triều Tiên
South Korean presidential candidate Moon Jae In ran for Goyang on 4-5 May

Over time, observers have noted the urgency of the United States and the incumbent South Korean government to put pressure on North Korea, including the accelerated deployment of the Advanced Range Missile Defense System Late (THAAD).

Assume that Washington fears unpredictable changes in Seoul policy after the 9-5 election (an experience they had with the Philippines).

Any attempt by the United States to expand its isolation would collide with the new Korean government's policy

Expert JEFFREY ROBERTSON (Yonsei University)
North Korea

Moon Jae-in, a candidate for the presidency of the Republic of Korea, is one of the contributors to the Sunshine policy that promoted inter-Korean relations while serving as head of the presidential office under President Roh Moo Hyun. (2003-2008).

Mr Moon has proposed to revive this policy - a move that promised much debate with the Washington ally.

Moon Jae In has an interesting biography, the son of a refugee family from North Korea. While on the South Korean taskforce in the 1970s, Moon was prominent.

Veteran Roh Chang Nam, who commanded Moon's unit, described him as more of a companion than his teammates and loved to see wildflowers.

Many speculate that Moon Jae-in must serve in this force as a punishment for participating in pro-democracy protests (dictator Park Chung Hee at that time).

For Moon, the Korean issue is not merely political, but also personal.

His parents left the North during the Korean War on an American warship. In 2004, he and his mother returned to visit the North and reunited with their sister after decades of separation.

Moon, now 64, is on the verge of becoming Korea's most powerful figure.

If the situation does not change, the outcome of the May 9 election will end nine years of conservative Korean power, promising to bring about a change in the way Seoul deals with sensitive relationships. Feeling Pyongyang.

Sunshine 2.0

"The nuclear threat of Korea needs to be dealt with first, but in the end we still have to restore the Sunshine policy for consistency," Moon said during the campaign.

Contrary to other presidential candidates, Moon argued that the Korean isolation policy was ineffective.

He called for reopening the inter-Korean industrial zone to rebuild trust between the two sides, although he warned that this would not happen if Pyongyang continues to test nuclear weapons.

If the tensions are reduced, Moon supports increased economic connections between Korea and South Korea, including a pipeline project from Siberia (Russia) through Korea to Korea.

According to Moon's advisers, the steps are just a "prelude" and many other inter-Korean projects will follow.

A summit with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un is part of Moon Jae In's plan.

In addition, he vowed to reconsider whether or not the US THAAD system was operating in Korea.

Korean people vote early

During the four days of May 4-5, Koreans voted early to elect a president at 3,510 polling stations across the country. South Korea has more than 42.4 million eligible voters.

Surveys show that candidate Moon Jae In is leading, keeping a safe distance compared to the two opponents that follow.

The political risk consulting firm Eurasia Group this week lifted Moon's chances of winning 80% from 55% last month.

The winner of the presidential election will be sworn in as South Korean president immediately, ignoring the usual two-month transfer period. The new president will serve a five-year term. Thank you for leaving valuable comments

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